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CIRET/KOF/HSE-Workshop 2011
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| Time | Presenters Title of Presentation |
| Pre-event | |
Thursday, 15 September 2011 |
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| 13.30 - 14.00 | Registration |
| 14.00 - 14.10 | Vladimir Avtonomov, Dean of Economic Department of Higher School of Economics Moscow, Russia Welcome |
| 14.10 - 15.10 | Jan-Egbert Sturm, President of CIRET, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland On the use of business tendency surveys in business cycle analysis (Presentation) |
| 15.10 - 15.40 | Discussion |
| 15.40 - 16.10 | Coffee break |
| 16.10 - 17.10 | Gianluca Cubadda, Università di Roma “Tor Vergata”, Rome, Italy A General to Specific Approach for Selecting the Best Business Cycle Indicators (Presentation) |
| 17.10 - 17.40 | Discussion |
| 17.45 - 18.30 | CIRET, Council meeting (Council members and guests of CIRET Council) |
Friday, 16 September 2011 |
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| 9.00 - 9.30 | Registration / welcome coffee |
| Session 1: | |
| 9.30 - 10.15 | Corrado Macchiarelli, European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany GDP-Inflation Cycles in the CEECs and Perspectives on Regional Convergence |
| 10.15 - 11.00 | Elena Belyanova and Sergei Nikolaenko, Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO), Moscow, Russia Russia's First Business Cycle: Emergence of Domestic Mechanism or Reflection of Global Disturbances? Presentation |
| 11.00 - 11.30 | Coffee break |
| Session 2: | |
| 11.30 - 12.15 | Gian Luigi Mazzi, Eurostat, Luxembourg A multivariate system for turning point detection in the euro area |
| 12.15 - 13.00 | Ataman Ozyildirim, The Conference Board, New York, US Using a Composite Index of Financial Conditions Indicators to Predict Turning Points in the U.S. Business Cycle Presentation |
| 13.00 - 14.00 | Lunch |
| Session 3: | |
| 14.00 - 14.45 | Sergey V. Smirnov, Higher School of Economics Moscow, Russia Cyclical Mechanisms in US and Russia: Why are they different? Presentation |
| 14.45 - 15.30 | Attila Ratfai, Central European University, Budapest, Hungary Business Cycles around the Globe Presentation |
| 15.30 - 16.00 | Coffee break |
| Session 4: | |
| 16.00 - 16.45 | Ari Nopianti, Nurcahyo Heru Prasetyo, Retno Wulan Sari, Bank Indonesia, Jakarta Tracking Economic Cycles through Consumer Survey Presentation |
| 16.45 - 17.30 | Matthieu Cornec, Fanny Mikol, INSEE, Paris, France Nowcasting GDP directional change with an application to French business survey data Presentation |
| 17.30 - 19.00 | CIRET General Assembly (CIRET corporate and individual members) |
| 19.00 | Common dinner (optional) |
Saturday, 17 September 2011 |
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| Session 5: | |
| 9.30 - 10.15 | Peter Havlik, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, Vienna, Austria Recovery – in low gear across tough terrain Presentation |
| 10.15 - 11.00 | Magdalena Ulrichs, Zuzanna Wosko, Central Statistical Office, University of Lodz, Poland Polynomial detrending and the spectral shape of business cycle indicators Presentation |
| 11.00 - 11.30 | Coffee break |
| Session 6: | |
| 11.30 - 12.15 | Marco Malgarini, Italian National Institute of Statistics ISTAT, Rome, Italy Industrial production and confidence after the crisis: what’s going on? Presentation |
| 12.15 - 13.00 | Boriss Siliverstovs, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland National Business Cycles in the Global World: Features of the Swiss Business Cycle, Part 1 Presentation |
| 13.00 - 14.00 | Lunch |
| Session 7: | |
| 14.00 - 14.45 | Michael Graff, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland National Business Cycles in the Global World: Features of the Swiss Business Cycle, Part 2 Presentation |
| 14.45 - 15.30 | Roberto Golinelli, University of Bologna, Italy Forecasting World Output: the Rising Importance of Emerging Asian Economies Presentation |
| 15.30 - 16.15 | Slawomir Dudek, Konrad Walczyk, Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw, Poland Cyclical Fluctuations of Business Activity in New EU Countries Presentation |
| 17.00 | Bus tour around Moscow (optional) |
| 16.30 - 18.00 | JBCMA Editorial Board Meeting (editorial board members) |